“it might send the us into a temporary short recession so that it forces the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates”The direction of this call could not be determined with confidence, so it is held out of the score.
Said on Apr 4, 2025, at 12:53 in the video.
“it might send the us into a temporary short recession so that it forces the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates”The direction of this call could not be determined with confidence, so it is held out of the score.
NBER-based recession indicator: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
The direction of this call could not be determined with confidence, so it is held out of the score.
that can only be possible in a time when interest rates are low he even said no one gets Rich while interest rates are high so enter tariffs tariffs hurt everybody they raise costs they scare markets and they can stop spending and investment that's a bad thing even Howard lutnick said the world putting tariffs against itself of course it's bad when we're all equal and everything is free and fair if you raise tariffs and they raise tariffs isn't it bad for society the answer is of course it is but a slower economy can accomplish something it might send the us into a temporary short recession so that it forces the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to stimulate that growth to revive the economy and to allow people to get rich again and what else do lower interest rates do they make it cheaper for the government to borrow and refinance its debt of which this year there will be about $9 trillion of now all of this sounds almost mchy of Alan right but it's a theory with a lot of data points suggesting that at least it could be possibly intentional it's supported at least in part by one of the most legendary macro investors and economic historians of all time Ray Doo you might know him
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
Andrei JikhRecessionwill happen
“And throughout history, exploding oil prices have almost always come before a major recession.”
Mar 16, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Recession will rise
“That's why in Q2 of 2027 in this scenario, we are in a full-blown recession.”
Feb 27, 2026
Coin Bureau, relaying JPMorgan: a call under review
“JPMorgan's December outlook assigns a 35% probability to a US and global recession hitting in 2026.”
Dec 24, 2025
Coin Bureaua call under review
“This suggests that more states could soon face economic turmoil and this could in turn tip the US into a recession at the federal level.”
Nov 11, 2025
Andrei Jikha call with no clear direction
“The next recession won't be coming from student loans or subprime mortgages. Now, we know the next recession will come from subprime cheeseburger loans.”
Sep 2, 2025
Coin BureauRecessionwill fall
“The good news in this case is that it means liquidity is likely to continue rising indefinitely and that it will be very hard to have a recession.”
Aug 2, 2025 · after 1 year