Andrei Jikh: một nhận định không rõ hướng

Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng

Chỉ báo suy thoái theo mốc của NBER: Ngân hàng Dự trữ Liên bang St. Louis, qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.

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that can only be possible in a time when interest rates are low he even said no one gets Rich while interest rates are high so enter tariffs tariffs hurt everybody they raise costs they scare markets and they can stop spending and investment that's a bad thing even Howard lutnick said the world putting tariffs against itself of course it's bad when we're all equal and everything is free and fair if you raise tariffs and they raise tariffs isn't it bad for society the answer is of course it is but a slower economy can accomplish something it might send the us into a temporary short recession so that it forces the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to stimulate that growth to revive the economy and to allow people to get rich again and what else do lower interest rates do they make it cheaper for the government to borrow and refinance its debt of which this year there will be about $9 trillion of now all of this sounds almost mchy of Alan right but it's a theory with a lot of data points suggesting that at least it could be possibly intentional it's supported at least in part by one of the most legendary macro investors and economic historians of all time Ray Doo you might know him

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