“and I think right it might not be this or next quarter story but it's going to be coming in the next 12 months or else we'll just take the history books throw them out we'll tell everybody that mother nature and the business cycle has been repealed and that recessions don't exist”Joseph Carlson, relaying another source: Recession will happen
Said on Jul 7, 2023, at 10:36 in the video.
The window it was checked over
NBER-based recession indicator: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
Merrell every day in 2007 where's the recession where's the recession okay yeah well it came in big time in 2008. so yeah the lags this time are longer because the Energizer Bunny called the Biden budget Buster that was actually gave the fiscal stimulus was a gift that kept on giving but you see that's coming to an end and now we're going to see the Full Throttle of these lags that everybody's talking about well where are the lags they're staring Us in the face and I think right it might not be this or next quarter story but it's going to be coming in the next 12 months or else we'll just take the history books throw them out we'll tell everybody that mother nature and the business cycle has been repealed and that recessions don't exist but they always follow the pattern of what the fed's already been doing he is convinced that a recession is coming it is inevitable people wonder where the recession is until it finally hits now I'll admit that this interview is a little bit more spooky than most because he's very bearish and he has a lot of convincing arguments there seems to be more Merit to what he's saying and we know that part of what he's saying is true there is a probability in fact
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
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