Coin Bureau, relaying another source: House prices will rise

Said on May 24, 2022, at 9:23 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“the authors imply that the housing market will continue to rise even if it does see a slight correction, and that, quote, "Such a shock is unlikely to be amplified by the financial system." In other words, the housing bubble will continue to grow, but at least it won't blow up the financial system like it did in 2008.”
Watch at 9:23Have You SEEN THIS!? What Worries The Fed!! ⚠️
PredictionHouse priceswill rise
What happened
Relayed

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

The window it was checked over

This series is not charted here until its publisher's terms for reusing it are confirmed. Each verdict still cites the figures it was judged on.

S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index: S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

What was said around it

And the implications it has for foreign individuals and institutions holding US assets. You can learn more about the sanctions against Russia and how they could affect you using the link in the description. But, I digress. The second part of the Fed's financial stability report is a deeper dive into the first of the four categories of economic vulnerability, which is asset valuations. After reiterating what they mentioned in the overview, the authors imply that the housing market will continue to rise even if it does see a slight correction, and that, quote, "Such a shock is unlikely to be amplified by the financial system." In other words, the housing bubble will continue to grow, but at least it won't blow up the financial system like it did in 2008. The authors then touch on the rise in interest rates for various durations of government bonds, i.e. government debt, and admit that this increase in rates could reduce valuations in asset markets across the board. What's funny is the authors failed to comment on the fact that the yield on the two-year Treasury briefly exceeded the yield on the 10-year Treasury at the end of March, and the two continue to be uncomfortably close. This is

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham StephanHouse priceswill rise

“And that means that home prices in those markets continue going higher.”

Aug 10, 2026 · after 1 year

Pending

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“Instead the market is just quietly resetting to a much higher and much more expensive new normal and everyone who's waiting it out to see 2019 prices again is unfortunately probably out of luck”

Jul 22, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham StephanHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“the Northeast and Midwest are still hitting record highs, including Hartford, Connecticut, which is up 25% from its 2022 peak. Well, the pandemic boom towns across Texas, Florida, and the Mountain West keep falling.”

Jul 15, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed