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Coin Bureau: Fed policy rate will rise

Said on Mar 7, 2022, at 18:59 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“this means the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates more aggressively in response”
Watch at 18:59Crypto News: DeFi Censorship, Sanctions & Crypto, The Fed & More!!
PredictionFed policy ratewill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Reading when said

0.25%

Mar 7, 2022

Reading at close

4.75%

Mar 7, 2023

Change

+4.50 pp

The policy rate was 0.25% at the start of the window and 4.75% on Mar 7, 2023, a net change of +4.50 pp. The largest increase inside the window was 450 basis points. The stated threshold was 25 basis points.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

Fed policy rateWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
−1%0%1%2%3%4%5%6%201920202020202120222023Said on Mar 7, 2022
−2%0%2%4%6%2019202020222023Said on Mar 7, 2022

Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-FED v4Correct0.25%0.5%Apr 6, 2022+0.25 pp—
90 daysR-FED v4Correct0.25%1%Jun 5, 2022+0.75 pp—
180 daysR-FED v4Correct0.25%2.5%Sep 3, 2022+2.25 pp—
1 yearR-FED v4Correct0.25%4.75%Mar 7, 2023+4.50 pp—
3 yearsR-FED v4Correct0.25%4.5%Mar 6, 2025+4.25 pp—
5 yearsR-FED v4Pending——Mar 6, 2027——
Why: 30 days

The policy rate was 0.25% at the start of the window and 0.50% on Apr 6, 2022, a net change of +0.25 pp. The largest increase inside the window was 25 basis points. The stated threshold was 25 basis points.

Why: 90 days

The policy rate was 0.25% at the start of the window and 1.00% on Jun 5, 2022, a net change of +0.75 pp. The largest increase inside the window was 75 basis points. The stated threshold was 25 basis points.

Why: 180 days

The policy rate was 0.25% at the start of the window and 2.50% on Sep 3, 2022, a net change of +2.25 pp. The largest increase inside the window was 225 basis points. The stated threshold was 25 basis points.

Why: 1 year

The policy rate was 0.25% at the start of the window and 4.75% on Mar 7, 2023, a net change of +4.50 pp. The largest increase inside the window was 450 basis points. The stated threshold was 25 basis points.

Why: 3 years

The policy rate was 0.25% at the start of the window and 4.50% on Mar 6, 2025, a net change of +4.25 pp. The largest increase inside the window was 525 basis points. The stated threshold was 25 basis points.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Mar 6, 2027.

What was said around it

covering what he said during both hearings later this week so stay tuned for that anywho the figures for the Consumer Price Index or CPI which is used to measure inflation in the United States will be released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on March the 10th and it's safe to say that investors are very concerned this is because the price of energy namely oil and the price of food namely wheat has gone through the roof over the last two weeks as such it's almost guaranteed that the CPI for February will be even higher than it was the month before and this means the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates more aggressively in response on that note the Federal Reserve is scheduled to detail a roadmap for how it plans to raise interest rates during its upcoming meetings on March the 15th and 16th shortly after the second meeting it'll be doing a press conference and what it says could make or break the crypto Market at this point however it's worth pointing out that interest rates could be the least of our concerns High food prices have historically been correlated to large amounts of social unrest and about a dozen countries around the world are already facing a high percentage of

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise

“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”

Sep 3, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise

“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”

Jun 17, 2026

Relayed

Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated

“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”

Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall

“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”

Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days

Incorrect so far · 90 days

Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise

“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”

May 26, 2026

Relayed

Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise

“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”

May 26, 2026

Relayed