Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Mortgage rates will fall

Said on Jan 5, 2026, at 9:02 in the video.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“it's largely expected that mortgage rates will begin to decline, prices may begin to soften, but not collapse, and affordability may slightly improve for buyers, but not by much.”
Watch at 9:02I'm Selling... Where I'm Investing in 2026
PredictionMortgage rateswill fallby Dec 31, 2026
What happened
Relayed

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

The window it was checked over

Mortgage ratesWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
5.5%6%6.5%7%7.5%8%202320232024202520262027Said on Jan 5, 2026
5.5%6%6.5%7%7.5%8%2023202420252027Said on Jan 5, 2026

30-year fixed mortgage rate: Freddie Mac PMMS via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

What was said around it

sold three properties in the last two years. My plan is to sell another two when I get them ready. And ideally longterm, all I want is a primary residence that I live in myself and that's it. Again, this is about optimizing more so for peace of mind than more money. Even though in California, I'd actually make more money selling out the properties and putting that money to work somewhere else. But we'll save that for another video. Anyway, in terms of the broader market though, since this is a 2026 video, it's largely expected that mortgage rates will begin to decline, prices may begin to soften, but not collapse, and affordability may slightly improve for buyers, but not by much. So, the general consensus seems to be more of the same. Although, this next one is going to be quite different, and that would be Bitcoin. Honestly, this one's not for the faint of heart because it started the year at 93,000, fell to 75,000, then rose to 125,000, and then settled around 90,000. Meaning, if you bought once at the beginning of the year and then did absolutely nothing, you would have lost money. Now, even though Bitcoin's price swings like this are not unusual by any stretch of the imagination,

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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