Said on Feb 7, 2022, at 2:04 in the video.
“based on what everything the past is showing us it seems like another recession is coming”No recession is dated between Feb 7, 2022 and Feb 7, 2023. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
30 days
Incorrect
90 days
Incorrect
180 days
Incorrect
1 year
Incorrect
NBER-based recession indicator: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
| Window | Result | At the start | At the end | Change | Benchmark |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 daysR-MACRO-REC v4 | Incorrect | — | —Mar 9, 2022 | — | — |
| 90 daysR-MACRO-REC v4 | Incorrect | — | —May 8, 2022 | — | — |
| 180 daysR-MACRO-REC v4 | Incorrect | — | —Aug 6, 2022 | — | — |
| 1 yearR-MACRO-REC v4 | Incorrect | — | —Feb 7, 2023 | — | — |
| 3 yearsR-MACRO-REC v4 | Incorrect | — | —Feb 6, 2025 | — | — |
| 5 yearsR-MACRO-REC v4 | Pending | — | —Feb 6, 2027 | — | — |
No recession is dated between Feb 7, 2022 and Mar 9, 2022. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
No recession is dated between Feb 7, 2022 and May 8, 2022. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
No recession is dated between Feb 7, 2022 and Aug 6, 2022. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
No recession is dated between Feb 7, 2022 and Feb 7, 2023. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
No recession is dated between Feb 7, 2022 and Feb 6, 2025. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
The window is still open. The result is due after Feb 6, 2027.
bring it down but we got a recession and we have a few between here that we get a few recessions that don't hit five percent inflation readings but different reasons and then in 1970 we got six percent inflation followed by a recession in 1974 we got 12 inflation followed by a recession 1980 a massive 14 inflation reading we had a brief recession we tried to bring that one down but we got another recession in 1980 same story 2008 same story now we are at 6.74 percent and it seems like the writing's on the wall because we need to bring down inflation but based on what everything the past is showing us it seems like another recession is coming now recession is kind of a scary word right because it doesn't inspire investor confidence like if i told you to invest during a recession you'd be like no i'm good i'd rather sell everything and just wait the question i have is how well do stocks do in a recession because the answer surprised me and i know it's going to surprise you too because even if you knew that a recession was coming selling everything and waiting might not have been the best thing to do to quote russell investment research in order to beat a buy and hold return of nine percent
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
Andrei JikhRecessionwill happen
“And throughout history, exploding oil prices have almost always come before a major recession.”
Mar 16, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Recession will rise
“That's why in Q2 of 2027 in this scenario, we are in a full-blown recession.”
Feb 27, 2026
Coin Bureau, relaying JPMorgan: a call under review
“JPMorgan's December outlook assigns a 35% probability to a US and global recession hitting in 2026.”
Dec 24, 2025
Coin Bureaua call under review
“This suggests that more states could soon face economic turmoil and this could in turn tip the US into a recession at the federal level.”
Nov 11, 2025
Andrei Jikha call with no clear direction
“The next recession won't be coming from student loans or subprime mortgages. Now, we know the next recession will come from subprime cheeseburger loans.”
Sep 2, 2025
Coin BureauRecessionwill fall
“The good news in this case is that it means liquidity is likely to continue rising indefinitely and that it will be very hard to have a recession.”
Aug 2, 2025 · after 1 year
