“as of right now a peak federal funds rate of 4.75 to 5 percent is being priced in and all of that will be determined from the information and data that we receive between today and March 22nd”Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
Said on Feb 1, 2023, at 7:45 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
what happens in fact the chief Economist at ING said that U.S inflation shows price pressures are easing yet in an environment of a strong jobs Market the Federal Reserve will be weary of calling the top in interest rates especially since there's the concern that if investors think inflation is over they will spend more money causing inflation to persist even longer that's why it's believed that the Federal Reserve is not going to give us any indication on what's going to happen too far in advance but as of right now a peak federal funds rate of 4.75 to 5 percent is being priced in and all of that will be determined from the information and data that we receive between today and March 22nd however on the positive side consumer expectations for near-term inflation did fall to the lowest level since April of 2021 at 3.9 percent for the next year which means the fed's plan seems to be working as far as what I think about everything going on let's talk about the rising unemployment at a first glance yes it is shocking to see just how many jobs have been lost over these last few months but in many of those cases those companies also hired so many people throughout the last few years that the
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Fed policy rate
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026