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Andrei Jikh: House prices will fall

Said on Jun 13, 2022, at 13:51 in the video.

What was said
Andrei Jikh

@andreijikh

“when you add in the increase to the interest rates and of course the inventory which has already started to happen then the real estate market will start to soften and we're seeing that already”
Watch at 13:51I Just Lost A Million Dollars | Crypto & Stocks
PredictionHouse priceswill fallChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Reading when said

18.14%

Jun 13, 2022

Reading at close

0.02%

Jun 13, 2023

Change

−18.12 pp

House prices stood at 18.14% at the start of the window and 0.02% at Jun 13, 2023, a change of −18.12 pp (CSUSHPINSA, first releases). The call was that it would fall. Moves smaller than 2.0 pp are treated as no change.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

This series is not charted here until its publisher's terms for reusing it are confirmed. Each verdict still cites the figures it was judged on.

S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index: S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Correct18.14%15.86%Jul 13, 2022−2.27 pp—
90 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Correct18.14%10.78%Sep 11, 2022−7.36 pp—
180 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Correct18.14%5.76%Dec 10, 2022−12.38 pp—
1 yearR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Correct18.14%0.02%Jun 13, 2023−18.12 pp—
3 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Correct18.14%1.93%Jun 12, 2025−16.21 pp—
5 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Pending——Jun 12, 2027——
Why: 30 days

House prices stood at 18.14% at the start of the window and 15.86% at Jul 13, 2022, a change of −2.27 pp (CSUSHPINSA, first releases). The call was that it would fall. Moves smaller than 2.0 pp are treated as no change.

Why: 90 days

House prices stood at 18.14% at the start of the window and 10.78% at Sep 11, 2022, a change of −7.36 pp (CSUSHPINSA, first releases). The call was that it would fall. Moves smaller than 2.0 pp are treated as no change.

Why: 180 days

House prices stood at 18.14% at the start of the window and 5.76% at Dec 10, 2022, a change of −12.38 pp (CSUSHPINSA, first releases). The call was that it would fall. Moves smaller than 2.0 pp are treated as no change.

Why: 1 year

House prices stood at 18.14% at the start of the window and 0.02% at Jun 13, 2023, a change of −18.12 pp (CSUSHPINSA, first releases). The call was that it would fall. Moves smaller than 2.0 pp are treated as no change.

Why: 3 years

House prices stood at 18.14% at the start of the window and 1.93% at Jun 12, 2025, a change of −16.21 pp (CSUSHPINSA, first releases). The call was that it would fall. Moves smaller than 2.0 pp are treated as no change.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jun 12, 2027.

What was said around it

that has still made me money now that was nfts in crypto very speculative now let me show you my real estate portfolio so far the only thing that has really held up in value this year is my real estate portfolio which fortunately my rental home that i bought in february of this year has gone up a hundred thousand dollars and my primary residence which is the house i live in now has gone up roughly four hundred thousand dollars after the remodel so all together it's about half a million dollars but when you add in the increase to the interest rates and of course the inventory which has already started to happen then the real estate market will start to soften and we're seeing that already personally i'm actually really excited for this to happen because i feel like real estate has been overvalued for such a long time and i think it'll be a great buying opportunity especially for first time home buyers so all together my losses were 910 000 but if you add in the price appreciation of real estate into that then net all in all my year-to-date performance is 410 000 in losses now this does not include alternative assets and collectibles but that's why they say it's important to diversify

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham StephanHouse priceswill rise

“And that means that home prices in those markets continue going higher.”

Aug 10, 2026 · after 1 year

Pending

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“Instead the market is just quietly resetting to a much higher and much more expensive new normal and everyone who's waiting it out to see 2019 prices again is unfortunately probably out of luck”

Jul 22, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham StephanHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“the Northeast and Midwest are still hitting record highs, including Hartford, Connecticut, which is up 25% from its 2022 peak. Well, the pandemic boom towns across Texas, Florida, and the Mountain West keep falling.”

Jul 15, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed