“the Federal Reserve expects to extend the rate hikes into 2023 without dropping them back down see in September they projected to Target federal funds rate of 4.6 percent meaning we'd likely have one or two more raid hikes left and then we're done but now they've revised that upwards to 5.1 percent suggesting that we've still got a long ways to go”Graham Stephan, relaying Federal Reserve: Fed policy rate will rise
Said on Dec 14, 2022, at 7:37 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedAttributed to Federal Reserve — not scored
What was said around it
numbers that could mean absolutely nothing but in terms of the latest rate hikes and what Jerome Powell has to say here's what you need to know because a lot of this will have a direct impact on you so as far as what just happened as of a few hours ago the Federal Reserve started by reducing the rate hike to 50 basis points exactly as the market expected but the one piece of data the market didn't price in was the fact that the Federal Reserve expects to extend the rate hikes into 2023 without dropping them back down see in September they projected to Target federal funds rate of 4.6 percent meaning we'd likely have one or two more raid hikes left and then we're done but now they've revised that upwards to 5.1 percent suggesting that we've still got a long ways to go and that inadvertently caused the stock market to fall while it readjusted to some new information in addition to that the Federal Reserve also reduced their anticipated GDP from 1.1 percent growth in 2023 down to half a percent basically hinting that we could continue to see an economic contraction over the next 12 months however in the sea of the stock market turning red there is some good news in the fact that Jerome Powell
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Fed policy rate
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026