“the central bank is dead set on keeping interest rates at five percent or higher until the end of the year notwithstanding a breakage of the sort I just described”Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
Said on Jan 11, 2023, at 13:27 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
that means well the short answer is that either a big bank or Corporation will go bankrupt or the markets for government debt will become illiquid causing all sorts of issues and if you want to know what that looks like look no further than the UK where the government's guilt Market went haywire after Poor fiscal policy Decisions by short-lived former prime minister Liz truss you can find out more about what happened there using the link in the description moving on now another thing the FED minutes reveal is that the central bank is dead set on keeping interest rates at five percent or higher until the end of the year notwithstanding a breakage of the sort I just described what's annoying is that fed officials don't give any details regarding exactly how much they will raise rates going forward and then came the middle finger quote participants noted that because monetary policy worked importantly through financial markets and unwarranted easing in financial conditions especially if driven by a misperception by the public of the committee's reaction function would complicate the committee's effort to restore price stability translation if markets continue to Rally the way they have
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Fed policy rate
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026