Said on Sep 25, 2024, at 8:54 in the video.
“since fed members expect interest rates to be at around 4.5% at the end of the year and given that there are two more fed meetings left between now and then this implies a 25 basis point cut at each one”Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Somebody else's forecast — not scored
sign that the FED is more concerned about a recession than it lets on and you can learn more about whether we're in a recession and what it could mean for your portfolio using the link in the description now once Jerome's speech was finished the question period began the first reporter to ask questions was from CNBC they asked Jerome a whole load of questions which can be summed up as will you cut by 0.5% again at the next meeting Jerome said it depends on the data but the sep is their base case since fed members expect interest rates to be at around 4.5% at the end of the year and given that there are two more fed meetings left between now and then this implies a 25 basis point cut at each one but again this will depend on the unemployment and inflation data that comes out between now and then after a pointless question from a reporter at the Associated Press a reporter from Reuters asked one of the most important questions of the bunch was there consensus among fed officials to cut rates by 50 basis points for those unaware one fed official objected the first objection since 2005 Jerome said that most fed members still supported Cuts but there's more to this story as you'll see in a
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026
