What was said
“prices may begin to soften, but not collapse, and affordability may slightly improve for buyers, but not by much.”Watch at 9:07I'm Selling... Where I'm Investing in 2026
Predictiona call with no clear direction
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: a call with no clear direction
Said on Jan 5, 2026, at 9:07 in the video.
The window it was checked over
This series is not charted here until its publisher's terms for reusing it are confirmed. Each verdict still cites the figures it was judged on.
S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index: S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
last two years. My plan is to sell another two when I get them ready. And ideally longterm, all I want is a primary residence that I live in myself and that's it. Again, this is about optimizing more so for peace of mind than more money. Even though in California, I'd actually make more money selling out the properties and putting that money to work somewhere else. But we'll save that for another video. Anyway, in terms of the broader market though, since this is a 2026 video, it's largely expected that mortgage rates will begin to decline, prices may begin to soften, but not collapse, and affordability may slightly improve for buyers, but not by much. So, the general consensus seems to be more of the same. Although, this next one is going to be quite different, and that would be Bitcoin. Honestly, this one's not for the faint of heart because it started the year at 93,000, fell to 75,000, then rose to 125,000, and then settled around 90,000. Meaning, if you bought once at the beginning of the year and then did absolutely nothing, you would have lost money. Now, even though Bitcoin's price swings like this are not unusual by any stretch of the imagination, seeing a year overyear price
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on House prices
Graham StephanHouse priceswill rise
“And that means that home prices in those markets continue going higher.”
Aug 10, 2026 · after 1 year
Pending
Graham Stephana call with no clear direction
“Instead the market is just quietly resetting to a much higher and much more expensive new normal and everyone who's waiting it out to see 2019 prices again is unfortunately probably out of luck”
Jul 22, 2026
Not scored
Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures
“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”
Jul 15, 2026
Relayed
Graham StephanHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures
“the Northeast and Midwest are still hitting record highs, including Hartford, Connecticut, which is up 25% from its 2022 peak. Well, the pandemic boom towns across Texas, Florida, and the Mountain West keep falling.”
Jul 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Not verifiable
Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures
“a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”
Jul 15, 2026
Relayed
Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures
“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”
Jul 15, 2026
Relayed