Graham Stephan: a call under review

Said on Jul 20, 2022, at 7:30 in the video.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“it's no surprise that higher mortgage rates are going to have a negative impact on the housing market.”
Watch at 7:30Why I'm Selling
Predictiona call under review
What happened
Not scored

How this call was recorded (its subject, its direction or a figure) is being checked again, because the words may not say what was first recorded. It is not scored until a person has reviewed it.

The window it was checked over

Mortgage ratesWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
2%3%4%5%6%7%8%9%201920202021202220232023Said on Jul 20, 2022
2%4%6%8%10%2019202020222023Said on Jul 20, 2022

30-year fixed mortgage rate: Freddie Mac PMMS via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

How this call was recorded (its subject, its direction or a figure) is being checked again, because the words may not say what was first recorded. It is not scored until a person has reviewed it.

What was said around it

next month or two, I could have my own location here in Las Vegas. We've structured it in such a way where him and his team can handle all the day-to-day operations and then I could focus on what I'm good at, investing and eating hot chicken sandwiches. Okay, no, but for real, selling off these properties just frees up a little bit more capital that I could reinvest somewhere else at a higher return with a lot less work on my end. Although, in terms of the overall state of the housing market, here's what you should be made aware of. First of all, it's no surprise that higher mortgage rates are going to have a negative impact on the housing market. In fact, it's said that a 1% point increase in mortgage rates reduces demand by 10.4% suggesting that policies that target mortgage rates are an effective way to influence the housing market in the short run. Because of that, CoreLogic found that out of the 392 markets they looked at, 45 of them had a greater than 50% chance of seeing a decline over the next 12 months. Which, just for reference, a month ago only 26 markets fell into that category. As you're about to see, even though some areas show some risk of a decline, the most susceptible

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