“the European Central Bank is facing an even worse scenario with Goldman Sachs
now projecting they will be forced to hike rates by 25 basis points in both April and June.”Coin Bureau, relaying Goldman Sachs: Fed policy rate — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures
Said on Mar 30, 2026, at 11:08 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedAttributed to Goldman Sachs — not scored
What was said around it
banking cartel finds itself in a dilemma. The Federal Reserve has officially held its benchmark interest rate at an effective 3.64% and its options from here are limited. If the Fed raises interest rates to fight this new wave of inflation, it will crush an already fragile economy and trigger a severe recession. If it cuts interest rates though to stimulate growth, it risks entrenching this oil shock inflation permanently and completely deanchoring consumer expectations. Meanwhile, over in Europe, the European Central Bank is facing an even worse scenario with Goldman Sachs now projecting they will be forced to hike rates by 25 basis points in both April and June. You cannot use monetary policy to fix a geopolitical supply shortage. You cannot rate hike Iran into reopening the straight of Hormuz. And of course, the bond market understands this perfectly, which is why the 10-year United States Treasury yield is sitting elevated at 4.44% while gold has exploded to $4,492 per ounce. Institutional capital is fleeing to hard assets because they know this inflation is structurally sticky and the situation could be about to reach boiling point. Donald Trump has
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Fed policy rate
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026