Coin Bureau, relaying Goldman Sachs: Fed policy rate — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

Said on Mar 30, 2026, at 11:08 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“the European Central Bank is   facing an even worse scenario with Goldman Sachs  now projecting they will be forced to hike rates   by 25 basis points in both April and June.”
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PredictionFed policy rate— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures
What happened
Relayed

Attributed to Goldman Sachs — not scored

The window it was checked over

Fed policy rateWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
3.5%4%4.5%5%5.5%6%202320242024202520262027Said on Mar 30, 2026
3.5%4%4.5%5%5.5%6%2023202420252027Said on Mar 30, 2026

Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Attributed to Goldman Sachs — not scored

What was said around it

banking cartel  finds itself in a dilemma. The Federal Reserve   has officially held its benchmark interest rate  at an effective 3.64% and its options from here   are limited. If the Fed raises interest rates to  fight this new wave of inflation, it will crush an   already fragile economy and trigger a severe  recession. If it cuts interest rates though   to stimulate growth, it risks entrenching this  oil shock inflation permanently and completely   deanchoring consumer expectations. Meanwhile,  over in Europe, the European Central Bank is   facing an even worse scenario with Goldman Sachs  now projecting they will be forced to hike rates   by 25 basis points in both April and June. You  cannot use monetary policy to fix a geopolitical   supply shortage. You cannot rate hike Iran into  reopening the straight of Hormuz. And of course,   the bond market understands this perfectly, which  is why the 10-year United States Treasury yield is   sitting elevated at 4.44% while gold has exploded  to $4,492 per ounce. Institutional capital is   fleeing to hard assets because they know this  inflation is structurally sticky and the situation   could be about to reach boiling point. Donald  Trump has

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