“CoreLogic found that out of the 392 markets they looked at, 45 of them had a greater than 50% chance of seeing a decline over the next 12 months.”Graham Stephan, relaying CoreLogic: House prices will fall
Said on Jul 20, 2022, at 7:47 in the video.
The window it was checked over
This series is not charted here until its publisher's terms for reusing it are confirmed. Each verdict still cites the figures it was judged on.
S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index: S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedAttributed to CoreLogic — not scored
What was said around it
could reinvest somewhere else at a higher return with a lot less work on my end. Although, in terms of the overall state of the housing market, here's what you should be made aware of. First of all, it's no surprise that higher mortgage rates are going to have a negative impact on the housing market. In fact, it's said that a 1% point increase in mortgage rates reduces demand by 10.4% suggesting that policies that target mortgage rates are an effective way to influence the housing market in the short run. Because of that, CoreLogic found that out of the 392 markets they looked at, 45 of them had a greater than 50% chance of seeing a decline over the next 12 months. Which, just for reference, a month ago only 26 markets fell into that category. As you're about to see, even though some areas show some risk of a decline, the most susceptible areas are the ones which saw the biggest increases including Boise, Idaho, Bend, Oregon, Fresno, California, and Lake Havasu. However, just because they deem them as overvalued doesn't necessarily mean they're going to drop. And with inventory still remaining near record lows, believe it or not, prices are still expected to rise by another 5% year-over-year.
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