Graham Stephan, relaying another source: House prices — around 10%

Said on Oct 28, 2022, at 6:16 in the video.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“he believes that housing prices will decline 10 to 15 percent over the next 12 months and the second biggest housing decline since post-world War II”
Watch at 6:16The FED Just RESET The Housing Market
PredictionHouse prices— around 10%by Oct 23, 2023
What happened
Relayed

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

The window it was checked over

This series is not charted here until its publisher's terms for reusing it are confirmed. Each verdict still cites the figures it was judged on.

S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index: S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

What was said around it

since they started reporting in 1987. as they say this data clearly shows that the growth rate of housing peaked in the spring of 2022 and has been declining ever since now in terms of which city saw the large just price drops the award right now goes to San Francisco down 4.3 percent Seattle down 3.9 percent and San Diego down 2.8 percent but I have to say when it comes to real estate no one seems to be quite as pessimistic as the finance Professor Jeremy Siegel with mortgage applications at the lowest level since 1997 he believes that housing prices will decline 10 to 15 percent over the next 12 months and the second biggest housing decline since post-world War II mark saudi's seconds is saying that most declines will happen sooner rather than later and that housing prices will fall 20 percent if there's a typical recession now in terms of the data though Redfin found that in September 60 000 real estate deals were canceled in less than half of all offers faced any competition unlike a year ago or the majority of homes went into a bidding war as far as how long this might last they believe that the housing market is not going to recover until the Federal Reserve begins lowering their

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham StephanHouse priceswill rise

“And that means that home prices in those markets continue going higher.”

Aug 10, 2026 · after 1 year

Pending

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“Instead the market is just quietly resetting to a much higher and much more expensive new normal and everyone who's waiting it out to see 2019 prices again is unfortunately probably out of luck”

Jul 22, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham StephanHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“the Northeast and Midwest are still hitting record highs, including Hartford, Connecticut, which is up 25% from its 2022 peak. Well, the pandemic boom towns across Texas, Florida, and the Mountain West keep falling.”

Jul 15, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed