Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will fall

Said on Jul 12, 2025, at 3:55 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“Waller used a speech last month to argue that  the Fed should look through any tariffdriven   pop in prices and still aim for rate cuts later  this year.”
Watch at 3:55Next Fed Chair? How Markets & Crypto Could React EXPLAINED
PredictionFed policy ratewill fallby Dec 31, 2025
What happened
Relayed

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

The window it was checked over

Fed policy rateWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
1%2%3%4%5%6%202220232024202520252026Said on Jul 12, 2025
1%2%3%4%5%6%2022202320252026Said on Jul 12, 2025

Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

What was said around it

the throttle on Truth Social.   Nevertheless, this gives us a picture of the  leading candidates. So let's have a look at   each of these contenders and consider what impact  they may have on the financial markets. We begin   with Christopher Waller. Currently considered by  many pundits as the favorite. Waller typically   leads Kelshi's betting market for the next Fed  chair. What's more, he's the only contender who   can actually shape policy today in his position  as a Fed governor, which he has held since 2020.   Waller used a speech last month to argue that  the Fed should look through any tariffdriven   pop in prices and still aim for rate cuts later  this year. A Bloomberg picked up on the headline   stressing that Waller sees a clear path to cuts  despite headline inflation risks. Within 15   minutes of Waller's remarks, the 2-year Treasury  yield dropped 20 basis points, a very sharp swing.   And that instant reaction partially explains  why some analysts now refer to Waller as Trump's   shadow Fed chair. Pundits are voicing concerns  over Trump's public weighing of candidates,   claiming the early nomination talks look designed  to let a chosen successor guide expectations

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