Graham Stephan, relaying another source: House prices — around 10%

Said on Oct 7, 2022, at 11:27 in the video.

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S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index: S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED

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Somebody else's forecast — not scored

What was said around it

three percent mortgage to a seven percent mortgage and double your payment unless home prices declined by 40 percent and realistically it's not going to happen in fact it was found that 92 percent of homeowners with mortgages have rates below five percent and half have rates below three and a half percent so a significant amount of the market is not going to be affected whatsoever by higher interest rates that means that for the foreseeable future we could continue to see relatively low inventory and that could prevent prices from falling too far some forecasters believe that this could be a 10 correction in prices while buyers wait on the sideline While others believe that housing prices might return to where they were back in 2021 but some markets could be hit worse than others with some that saw the biggest pandemic increase going down in price along with the high-end luxury Market which has already fallen five percent in the last three months but other markets could continue to increase in price so we'll very much have to take a wait and see approach that's why I believe that if you're happy with your home and can afford it you're better off just staying if you're a buyer be patient

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See all

Graham StephanHouse priceswill rise

“And that means that home prices in those markets continue going higher.”

Aug 10, 2026 · after 1 year

Pending

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“Instead the market is just quietly resetting to a much higher and much more expensive new normal and everyone who's waiting it out to see 2019 prices again is unfortunately probably out of luck”

Jul 22, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham StephanHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“the Northeast and Midwest are still hitting record highs, including Hartford, Connecticut, which is up 25% from its 2022 peak. Well, the pandemic boom towns across Texas, Florida, and the Mountain West keep falling.”

Jul 15, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed