“Jerome noted that most fed officials believe one more rate hike of 25 basis points 0.25 percent is appropriate between now and the end of the year and then quickly noted that the Fed foresees rate Cuts sometime next year”Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
Said on Sep 26, 2023, at 6:53 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
for August had come in above expectations in past press conferences Jerome would have underscored this fact instead he focused on the fact that fed officials expect inflation as measured by the pce to come down to two percent over the next two years this not only implies that there will be no recession but that there will be a soft Landing inflation will come down with no recession recall this is supposed to be bullish defense projections for interest rates should also have been bullish Jerome noted that most fed officials believe one more rate hike of 25 basis points 0.25 percent is appropriate between now and the end of the year and then quickly noted that the Fed foresees rate Cuts sometime next year again this is supposed to be bullish yet the markets crashed as Jerome spoke not only that but Jerome took an uncomfortably long pause when discussing the rate Cuts probably nothing Jerome stressed that these projections assume that the economy will evolve as expected meaning the GDP figures and the unemployment figures until then though the FED will continue to quote significantly reduce the size of its balance sheet and raise interest rates if need be now once Jerome finished his speech
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Fed policy rate
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026