Said on May 21, 2026, at 15:11 in the video.
“I'm definitely not betting on lower interest rates coming anytime soon, and I'm definitely not over-leveraging on anything that's dependent on interest rates coming down anytime in the next 12 months.”The direction of this call could not be determined with confidence, so it is held out of the score.
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
The direction of this call could not be determined with confidence, so it is held out of the score.
don't believe anything he says. So, he isn't necessarily helping the situation, but he's also not to blame for it, either. That is why I'm just largely watching this from the sidelines to see how this plays out, while also keeping about 20% of my portfolio in cash on the sidelines earning between 3 and 1/2 to 4%. Obviously, I'm continuing to just dollar cost average because I'm just a random dude who has no idea how this is going to play out, especially if AI continues to dominate. But beyond that, I'm definitely not betting on lower interest rates coming anytime soon, and I'm definitely not over-leveraging on anything that's dependent on interest rates coming down anytime in the next 12 months. I tend to think that the investors coming out ahead from this are simply going to be the people who stay diversified, keep some dry powder on the sidelines just in case, and don't panic sell if and when things eventually do turn around. On top of that, the next Fed meeting is going to be on June 17th. So, if you want to keep up to date on that, make sure to subscribe because I will be posting any updates as they come up. So, with that said, thank you so much for watching and as always, if you want
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026
