“lo and behold investors are currently pricing in a very high probability of another 25 basis point rate hike in July”Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
Said on Jun 21, 2023, at 10:27 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
don't have for well whatever reason Nick asked Jerome why the FED didn't raise rates given that it plans on doing so later why not rip off the Band-Aid in other words Jerome explained that it's primarily because the FED doesn't know how the banking crisis will affect credit conditions he then said the FED will skip but that he shouldn't call it a skip fed Insider Danielle demartino Booth explained in a subsequent interview that the reason why Jerome didn't want to call it a skip is because it commits the FED to raising rates again in July lo and behold investors are currently pricing in a very high probability of another 25 basis point rate hike in July on that note Nick followed up by asking how much data the FED needs to see before it can decide whether it's going to truly pause or just skip Jerome revealed that the FED needs to see three months of economic data to make this decision which could mean that there will be another pause in July since investors are currently pricing in another rate hike a pause could result in a rally take note now the next question was from the New York Times the reporter asked Jerome why the FED thinks the economy will be resilient and whether it's possible
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Fed policy rate
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026