What was said
“the Fed just dropped interest rates half a point and they're expected to lower rates even further”Watch at 6:02My Recession Proof Investing Plan For 2020
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will fall
Said on Mar 11, 2020, at 6:02 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Fed policy rateWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
stocks some of them might do insanely well and then others just flat-out sucked well the same applies to real estate real estate prices are heavily influenced by specific market conditions of supply and demand proximity to employment in the current supply of inventory on the market this is going to vary dramatically from location to location not so much with what's going on with the overall economy secondly real estate prices are gonna be heavily influenced by how high or how low mortgage interest rates are and right now they're at historic lows the Fed just dropped interest rates half a point and they're expected to lower rates even further which happens to make real estate way less expensive to own and third generally speaking people are not going and buying and reselling homes multiple times a day like they are with stocks the majority of people out there are not gonna have that much turnover of their property and they buy them with the intention of holding long term so whatever the value is in the interim really doesn't make that big of a difference not only that but try to find a value for a property at any given point in time is rather complex so for that reason we don't typically
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Fed policy rate
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Relayed
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Relayed
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Not verifiable
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Incorrect so far · 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Relayed
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026
Relayed