Graham Stephan, relaying another source: House prices — around 20%

Said on Oct 19, 2022, at 9:24 in the video.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“the housing market is also seeing a lot of attention with many animals believing that the hardest hit markets could see a decline of 20 throughout the next year especially as home builder confidence tanks”
Watch at 9:24It Started: The Worst Market Collapse In 50 Years | Michael Burry
PredictionHouse prices— around 20%by Dec 31, 2023
What happened
Relayed

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

The window it was checked over

This series is not charted here until its publisher's terms for reusing it are confirmed. Each verdict still cites the figures it was judged on.

S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index: S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

What was said around it

off for years despite more crash on the way suggesting that the boring staple profitable businesses will be the ones to outperform in the short term now others like Oppenheimer believe that we're already at that point and what is likely an extreme oversold condition in the stock market could become a catalyst for a modest rally before the year's end this could be from better than expected earnings as people begin to spend more money or any reduction in inflation along with the end of midterms the housing market is also seeing a lot of attention with many animals believing that the hardest hit markets could see a decline of 20 throughout the next year especially as home builder confidence tanks that's why I believe that it's best to be cautious in a market like this and plan for the worst but don't tailor your investment strategy around the plan that may or may not even happen just from what I've seen too many people have lost more money planning for the inevitable crash than those who keep buying on a regular basis consistently in dollar cost average regardless of what happens I think the main focus for everyone should simply be to stay employed and do your best to maximize your income

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham StephanHouse priceswill rise

“And that means that home prices in those markets continue going higher.”

Aug 10, 2026 · after 1 year

Pending

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“Instead the market is just quietly resetting to a much higher and much more expensive new normal and everyone who's waiting it out to see 2019 prices again is unfortunately probably out of luck”

Jul 22, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham StephanHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“the Northeast and Midwest are still hitting record highs, including Hartford, Connecticut, which is up 25% from its 2022 peak. Well, the pandemic boom towns across Texas, Florida, and the Mountain West keep falling.”

Jul 15, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed