Graham Stephan: a call with no clear direction

Said on Jan 28, 2026, at 0:08 in the video.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“as of a few hours ago, the Federal Reserve decided not to lower interest rates for the foreseeable future.”
Watch at 0:08BREAKING: The FED Just Froze Rates – Stocks / Gold / Housing SURGING While Dollar PLUMMETS!
Predictiona call with no clear direction
What happened
Not scored

The direction of this call could not be determined with confidence, so it is held out of the score.

The window it was checked over

Fed policy rateWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
3.5%4%4.5%5%5.5%6%202320232024202520262027Said on Jan 28, 2026
3.5%4%4.5%5%5.5%6%2023202420252027Said on Jan 28, 2026

Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

The direction of this call could not be determined with confidence, so it is held out of the score.

What was said around it

What's up, Graham? It's Guys here, and you better buckle up because everything is going to Okay, now in all seriousness, despite a falling US dollar, skyrocketing gold prices, and a looming government shutdown, as of a few hours ago, the Federal Reserve decided not to lower interest rates for the foreseeable future. However, starting May of 2026, everything is going to completely reset. After all, it's apparent that the market's no longer reacting to today's Federal Reserve. It's reacting to who will be in charge throughout the second half of the year. And this has the potential to reshape the way we think about stocks, cryptocurrency, real estate, and even the value of our money. That's why we absolutely need to talk about what just happened, what this means for you, and how you could use this information to come out ahead. Because the reality is confidence

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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