“as of a few hours ago, the Federal Reserve decided not to lower interest rates for the foreseeable future.”The direction of this call could not be determined with confidence, so it is held out of the score.
Said on Jan 28, 2026, at 0:08 in the video.
“as of a few hours ago, the Federal Reserve decided not to lower interest rates for the foreseeable future.”The direction of this call could not be determined with confidence, so it is held out of the score.
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
The direction of this call could not be determined with confidence, so it is held out of the score.
What's up, Graham? It's Guys here, and you better buckle up because everything is going to Okay, now in all seriousness, despite a falling US dollar, skyrocketing gold prices, and a looming government shutdown, as of a few hours ago, the Federal Reserve decided not to lower interest rates for the foreseeable future. However, starting May of 2026, everything is going to completely reset. After all, it's apparent that the market's no longer reacting to today's Federal Reserve. It's reacting to who will be in charge throughout the second half of the year. And this has the potential to reshape the way we think about stocks, cryptocurrency, real estate, and even the value of our money. That's why we absolutely need to talk about what just happened, what this means for you, and how you could use this information to come out ahead. Because the reality is confidence
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Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026