Graham Stephan, relaying another source: House prices — around 1.9%

Said on May 1, 2024, at 10:37 in the video.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“they're forecasting a 1.9% growth over 2024 which is slower than long-term Norms but a welcome slowdown for first-time home buyers”
Watch at 10:37URGENT: Federal Reserve Cancels Recession, Prices Fall, Massive Pivot Ahead
PredictionHouse prices— around 1.9%
What happened
Relayed

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

The window it was checked over

This series is not charted here until its publisher's terms for reusing it are confirmed. Each verdict still cites the figures it was judged on.

S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index: S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

What was said around it

higher year-over-year the rate at which they're increasing is beginning to slow down due to higher mortgage rates on top of that home prices actually fell in nine of the 50 largest metros with San Jose seeing a 1% decline from a month earlier although In fairness San Jose was also one of the areas that went up the most year-over-year at 17.5% so falling a is still kind of like a drop in the bucket now separate from that Zillow also has a lot to say in their monthly housing report and in terms of where they think the market is headed they're forecasting a 1.9% growth over 2024 which is slower than long-term Norms but a welcome slowdown for first-time home buyers in this case their reasoning for more growth is the fact that the higher mortgage rates go the less likely existing homeowners are to sell and coincidently as a result the higher prices tend to be that of course is squeezing a lot of people out of the housing market and is somewhat feeding into this article which found that nearly half of all baby boomers couldn't afford their current homes if they were to buy them today in this homeowners were asked if you were looking for a home to purchase do you think you'd be able to afford

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham StephanHouse priceswill rise

“And that means that home prices in those markets continue going higher.”

Aug 10, 2026 · after 1 year

Pending

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“Instead the market is just quietly resetting to a much higher and much more expensive new normal and everyone who's waiting it out to see 2019 prices again is unfortunately probably out of luck”

Jul 22, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham StephanHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“the Northeast and Midwest are still hitting record highs, including Hartford, Connecticut, which is up 25% from its 2022 peak. Well, the pandemic boom towns across Texas, Florida, and the Mountain West keep falling.”

Jul 15, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed