Joseph Carlson: NFLX will fall to $70.00

Said on Jan 14, 2026, at 10:59 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“I think that Netflix is a buy today right now. But I want to warn investors that this is a highly volatile company and this could go much lower. I could see on the low end, in fact, I could I could really see it happen where Netflix trades all the way down to around $70 per share.”
Watch at 10:594 Compounding Machines To Buy Now
PredictionNFLXwill fall to $70.00Checked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 180 days
Partly correct so far · 180 days

Entry price (first close after the video)

$88.05

Jan 15, 2026

Price at close

$73.83

Jul 13, 2026

Return

−16.1%

NFLX was $88.05 on Jan 15, 2026. The target was $70.00. Between then and Jul 13, 2026 the low was $70.86, so the level was not reached.

30 days

Partly correct

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Partly correct

1 year

Pending

The window it was checked over

NFLXWindow checkedTarget named
$40$60$80$100$120$140Jul 2025Nov 2025Feb 2026Jun 2026Sep 2026Jan 2027Target $70.00Said on Jan 14, 2026
$40$60$80$100$120$140Jul 2025Jan 2026Jul 2026Jan 2027Target $70.00Said on Jan 14, 2026

NFLX closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-PT v4Partly correct$88.05Jan 15, 2026$76.87Feb 13, 2026−12.7%—
90 daysR-PT v4Incorrect$88.05Jan 15, 2026$106.28Apr 14, 2026+20.7%—
180 daysR-PT v4Partly correct$88.05Jan 15, 2026$73.83Jul 13, 2026−16.1%—
1 yearR-PT v4Pending——Jan 14, 2027——
3 yearsR-PT v4Pending——Jan 12, 2029——
5 yearsR-PT v4Pending——Jan 13, 2031——
Why: 30 days

NFLX was $88.05 on Jan 15, 2026. The target was $70.00. Between then and Feb 13, 2026 the low was $75.23, so the level was not reached.

Why: 90 days

NFLX was $88.05 on Jan 15, 2026. The target was $70.00. Between then and Apr 14, 2026 the low was $75.01, so the level was not reached.

Why: 180 days

NFLX was $88.05 on Jan 15, 2026. The target was $70.00. Between then and Jul 13, 2026 the low was $70.86, so the level was not reached.

Why: 1 year

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jan 14, 2027.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jan 12, 2029.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jan 13, 2031.

What was said around it

competition even harder against Netflix. It strengthens their business without diluting it into secular declining businesses like cable TV. When I look at Netflix today, I see a company that's declining in stock price because of short-term concerns, because of commotion, because investors think it's a dead stock for the next year. But in reality, this is a company that's moving step by step aggressively into a much stronger position in the media landscape. I think that Netflix is a buy today right now. But I want to warn investors that this is a highly volatile company and this could go much lower. I could see on the low end, in fact, I could I could really see it happen where Netflix trades all the way down to around $70 per share. I think that's where we get to around the lowest end. The upside, by contrast, is very big for Netflix over the next 5 to 10 years. If they secure the deal with Warner Brothers Discovery, if they get all the debt under control, which they will, and if they leverage their content at the scale of Netflix, we can see really big things from this company over the next 10 to 20 years. I see it multiples higher than what it is today. The second stock that is a buy

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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