Callsight
ENVI Tiếng Việt
Get signals

Joseph Carlson: NFLX will rise

Said on Nov 5, 2025, at 22:05 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“the financials should support massive share price increases over the next 5 years. For me, it's worth buying.”
Watch at 22:056 Stocks To Buy In An Overvalued Market
PredictionNFLXwill riseby Nov 4, 2030
What happenedafter 180 days
Incorrect so far · 180 days

Entry price (first close after the video)

$109.70

Nov 6, 2025

Price at close

$91.02

May 4, 2026

Total return, dividends included

−17.0%

S&P 500 +7.7%

NFLX closed at $109.70 on Nov 6, 2025. On May 4, 2026 it closed at $91.02, a total return of −17.0% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +7.7%. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Pending

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

NFLXWindow checked
$40$60$80$100$120$140May 2025Aug 2025Dec 2025Apr 2026Jul 2026Nov 2026Said on Nov 5, 2025
$40$60$80$100$120$140May 2025Nov 2025May 2026Nov 2026Said on Nov 5, 2025

NFLX closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$109.70Nov 6, 2025$100.24Dec 5, 2025−8.6%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +2.3%
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$109.70Nov 6, 2025$79.94Feb 3, 2026−27.1%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +3.2%
180 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$109.70Nov 6, 2025$91.02May 4, 2026−17.0%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +7.7%
1 yearR-DIR v4Pending——Nov 5, 2026——
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Nov 3, 2028——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Nov 4, 2030——
Stated deadlineR-DIR v4Pending——Nov 4, 2030——
Why: 30 days

NFLX closed at $109.70 on Nov 6, 2025. On Dec 5, 2025 it closed at $100.24, a total return of −8.6% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +2.3%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

NFLX closed at $109.70 on Nov 6, 2025. On Feb 3, 2026 it closed at $79.94, a total return of −27.1% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +3.2%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

NFLX closed at $109.70 on Nov 6, 2025. On May 4, 2026 it closed at $91.02, a total return of −17.0% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +7.7%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

Not yet resolved. The window closes Nov 5, 2026.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Nov 3, 2028.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Nov 4, 2030.

Why: Stated deadline

Not yet resolved. The window closes Nov 4, 2030.

What was said around it

company's free cash flow will continue to spike. And on top of that, it's not just free cash flow. It's also free cash flow per share that's growing even faster. Netflix is now a company that's in a place to do a massive amount of share repurchases. This is an incredible fortunate situation to be in. Netflix is a stock that I believe is less obvious than the others because it's still priced as a premium company, but I believe it will have above premium performance. This company will continue to surprise. It'll continue to adapt and grow and the financials should support massive share price increases over the next 5 years. For me, it's worth buying. Now, of course, there's no guarantees that all these stocks will go up and to the right. That never is the case with investing, but I believe investors will do very well with any of those stocks over the next 5 years. Now, moving on, we get into some news of some other companies that have reported earnings, Uber being one of them. The stock is down a little bit, but overall, it's been a fantastic year for Uber investors. The stock is up dramatically on the year-to- date. And here's Darra, the Uber CEO, sharing his view this quarter. >> Well,

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Joseph CarlsonNFLXwill fall to $70.00

“I think that Netflix is a buy today right now. But I want to warn investors that this is a highly volatile company and this could go much lower. I could see on the low end, in fact, I could I could really see it happen where Netflix trades all the way down to around $70 per share.”

Jan 14, 2026 · after 180 days

Partly correct so far · 180 days−16.1%

Joseph CarlsonNFLX— no direction stated

“By the end of 2026, I believe that Netflix will have around $14 billion in free cash flow generated based on the operating leverage, based on the growth of this company.”

Nov 5, 2025 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Joseph CarlsonNFLXwill rise

“I expect the earnings per share growth to grow above 25% over the next 3 years. Netflix will be one of the fastest EPS growing companies in the market.”

Nov 5, 2025 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Joseph CarlsonNFLXwill rise

“In fact, I believe by 2031, so around 5 years from now, this will be about double. We'll see operating margins of around 50%.”

Nov 5, 2025 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Joseph CarlsonNFLXwill rise

“The revenue should continue to grow between 14 to 16% throughout 2026, another entire year of the same speed of revenue growth. That is my estimate for this company.”

Nov 5, 2025 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Joseph CarlsonNFLXwill rise

“I believe that Netflix is not overvalued. I've studied this company for a long period of time and I still believe there's far more to come that's not being priced in for Netflix.”

Nov 5, 2025 · after 180 days

Incorrect so far · 180 days−17.0%