Graham Stephan, relaying another source: House prices will fall

Said on Jul 7, 2023, at 5:48 in the video.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“for them home price growth is expected to fall by 0.6 percent for the entire year of course keep in mind that these are averages throughout the entire United States”
Watch at 5:48It Started: The Reverse Housing Crash of 2023
PredictionHouse priceswill fall
What happened
Relayed

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

The window it was checked over

This series is not charted here until its publisher's terms for reusing it are confirmed. Each verdict still cites the figures it was judged on.

S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index: S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

What was said around it

outstanding mortgages fixed for 30 years between 2.8 and three and a half percent if I were to sell to rebuy something else I'd have to pay substantially more in interest to the point where it just doesn't make sense to sell however you shouldn't get your hopes up quite yet because a new report from realtor.com projects that housing inventory will experience a modest slip of five percent for 2023 as a whole as early year gains turn into declines in the second half of the year how much of a drop you might be wondering well for them home price growth is expected to fall by 0.6 percent for the entire year of course keep in mind that these are averages throughout the entire United States and some locations could see a gain or a drop to either end of the extreme although in terms of what other analysts are expecting here's what you need to know although before we go into those details it's understandable that being able to save up enough money to buy a home right now is incredibly challenging for example one study found that it would take the average homeowner almost eight years to save the typical 20 down payment which is why it's so incredibly important to track and budget all of your expenses which

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham StephanHouse priceswill rise

“And that means that home prices in those markets continue going higher.”

Aug 10, 2026 · after 1 year

Pending

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“Instead the market is just quietly resetting to a much higher and much more expensive new normal and everyone who's waiting it out to see 2019 prices again is unfortunately probably out of luck”

Jul 22, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham StephanHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“the Northeast and Midwest are still hitting record highs, including Hartford, Connecticut, which is up 25% from its 2022 peak. Well, the pandemic boom towns across Texas, Florida, and the Mountain West keep falling.”

Jul 15, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed