What was said
“And now the Federal Reserve has made it clear that they expect a cut by another 50 basis points by the end of the year due to growing job uncertainty.”Watch at 12:50BREAKING: Federal Reserve JUST SLASHED RATES – Massive Pivot Ahead!
Graham Stephan, relaying Federal Reserve: Fed policy rate will fall
Said on Sep 17, 2025, at 12:50 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Fed policy rateWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedAttributed to Federal Reserve — not scored
What was said around it
Jerome Powell just said, overall he was a lot more cautious about the economy than in previous meetings. He still mentioned a concern of whether or not tariffs would have an impact on inflation. And that's why they're taking it meeting by meeting to determine what's going to happen next. However, in terms of where they expect the market to move over the next few years, today is where they release what's called their summary of economic projections, which details exactly what they anticipate to happen in the near future. And now the Federal Reserve has made it clear that they expect a cut by another 50 basis points by the end of the year due to growing job uncertainty. On top of that, they're predicting that inflation will remain above 2% throughout 2028, suggesting that their plan is overall to cut aggressively in 2025 and then take it a bit slower throughout the next year, depending on the data. Beyond that, Jerome Powell went on to say that today was a riskmanagement cut and that job growth was below break even. So, the market currently believes that the Fed might be too late to cut interest rates, which is why everything has begun selling off towards the end of the day. So, overall,
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Fed policy rate
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Relayed
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Relayed
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Not verifiable
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Incorrect so far · 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Relayed
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026
Relayed