Graham Stephan, relaying another source: House prices — around 8%

Said on Jul 9, 2021, at 8:04 in the video.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“the mortgage Giants Fanny May and Freddy Mack forecast that housing prices will rise 8% in 2021 before slowing down to 2.9% in 2022”
Watch at 8:04The Housing Market Is ABOUT TO BOTTOM
PredictionHouse prices— around 8%by Dec 31, 2021
What happened
Relayed

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

The window it was checked over

This series is not charted here until its publisher's terms for reusing it are confirmed. Each verdict still cites the figures it was judged on.

S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index: S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

What was said around it

that they're ready to increase interest rates sooner than they initially anticipated they still maintain that the inflation we're seeing today is transitionary it's mainly due to a result of excess demand combined with supply chain issues like our lumber example and that they still plan to keep rates low although we may see an uptick in 2023 this means that real estate may continue to be very competitive throughout the next year or two at least until interest rates start to have an impact on the market the third from all of this the mortgage Giants Fanny May and Freddy Mack forecast that housing prices will rise 8% in 2021 before slowing down to 2.9% in 2022 gillo is a little bit more ambitious when it comes to this believing that housing prices could rise another 14.9% year-over-year and fourth I never thought I would say something like this but because materials are beginning to come down in price Builders are purposely slowing down their projects and in order to wait for their materials to decline otherwise they risk putting themselves in a position where they overpay the cost of materials they extend themselves further than needed and then by the time the home is actually ready

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham StephanHouse priceswill rise

“And that means that home prices in those markets continue going higher.”

Aug 10, 2026 · after 1 year

Pending

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“Instead the market is just quietly resetting to a much higher and much more expensive new normal and everyone who's waiting it out to see 2019 prices again is unfortunately probably out of luck”

Jul 22, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham StephanHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“the Northeast and Midwest are still hitting record highs, including Hartford, Connecticut, which is up 25% from its 2022 peak. Well, the pandemic boom towns across Texas, Florida, and the Mountain West keep falling.”

Jul 15, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed