Said on Sep 2, 2024, at 45:55 in the video.
“I think it's guaranteed a r Market's pricing that if we don't then that's really super bearish I think it's going to happen Jerome said it there's no reason he wouldn't”Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Not scored under the published method.
Futures and all that which have got lower fees but people are more interested in black rocks and the other ETF providers so yeah yeah yeah okay so that was tweets of the week and now uh we will just go through some of the some of the wonderful comments that you guys have added during the stream so um Nicholas legnard says guys bullish or bearish on fomc this month I mean I think does that mean does bullish mean does bullish mean 50 50 basis points and bearish mean 25 I mean we're we're pretty much guaranteed cut I think it's guaranteed a r Market's pricing that if we don't then that's really super bearish I think it's going to happen Jerome said it there's no reason he wouldn't um but uh yeah I mean it's bullish or bearish uh potentially I think it's probably just going to be flat right in expectations prob priced in it's probably very much priced in very much so neither bullish nor bearish just a bit me but I mean long long term it's good new long term it's good news because it's the pivotal moment obviously the pivot it's a pivotal okay um Simon J Stewart hit on the reason why we didn't start bang on time Nick holding up filming due to bicep curls I know I got up before my my before
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026
