Said on Dec 10, 2022, at 15:24 in the video.
“Jerome said that the FED will raise rate slower but hold them higher this will ensure tight Financial conditions without crashing the economy at least he hopes so”Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Somebody else's forecast — not scored
seemed to hint that this could happen sooner due to The Peculiar economic and political situation the world finds itself in Jerome seemed to admit that the FED had never expected to see inflation at these levels and with that David opened the floor to the audience and I couldn't help but notice that most of the people asking questions were also the ones asking questions during Michael Barr's Brookings appearance the first question was about risk management regarding interest rates at this point in the hiking cycle Jerome said that the FED will raise rate slower but hold them higher this will ensure tight Financial conditions without crashing the economy at least he hopes so the second question was about the long-term downtrend in labor force participation in the United States Jerome argued that labor force participation was technically flat between 2013 and 2020 but it dropped off significantly at the start of the pandemic and will probably not return to previous levels the third question was about the FED potentially adjusting its four percent unemployment Target given that it was discussing this before Jerome confirmed that yes the FED will be discussing this again David asked whether
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026
