“We've had two consecutive rate cuts and the market is still pricing in a third
for the December meeting.”Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will fall
Said on Nov 5, 2025, at 9:15 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
detonation, a painful but necessary purge of excess leverage. The system absorbed a multi-billion dollar shock and unlike the terror or FTX collapses, no major exchanges went insolvent, at least that we know of. This painful flush out of what analysts call weak hands could paradoxically create a much healthier foundation for a sustainable rally into the year's end. Now, the second and arguably more powerful catalyst is a shifting macro environment. While the Fed's tone has been cautious, the trend is undeniable. They are pivoting. We've had two consecutive rate cuts and the market is still pricing in a third for the December meeting. More importantly, the official end of quantitative tightening on the 1st of December cannot be underestimated. QT has been a constant drain on market liquidity and its conclusion is a significant tailwind that should in theory support flows back into risk assets including crypto. And finally, there are the game-changing catalysts being held up by politics. The ongoing US government shutdown has frozen the SEC's decision-making process. And what are they sitting on? A wave of spot altcoin ETF applications. According to analysts
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Fed policy rate
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026