“these numbers could also continue moving higher with the Federal Reserve expected to raise rates by another 75 basis points in November risking a global recession”Graham Stephan, relaying Federal Reserve: Fed policy rate will rise
Said on Oct 21, 2022, at 10:12 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedAttributed to Federal Reserve — not scored
What was said around it
significantly higher with 12-month bonds paying a whopping 4.61 interest the highest since 2008. because of this Wells Fargo issued a statement that we don't need the 10-year treasury to act like a meme stock implying that investors have been walking to treasury yields now that they've increased because there's really no other safe place to put your money after all stock s have been declining real estate is falling cash is inflating and if you want any return on your money short term treasuries are pretty much it these numbers could also continue moving higher with the Federal Reserve expected to raise rates by another 75 basis points in November risking a global recession will people hold on to whatever money they have left as far as my own thoughts about what's going on I agree it's kind of a mess but we also don't know how much of this is already priced in for instance it's already assumed that inflation is probably going to stay high rates will increase and spending will probably decline CNN even cited five signs that the entire world is headed to a recession from a high U.S dollar wrecking Havoc overseas less spending lower employment falling prices in war as a result some expect
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Fed policy rate
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026