Graham Stephan, relaying Federal Reserve: Fed policy rate will rise

Said on Oct 21, 2022, at 10:12 in the video.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“these numbers could also continue moving higher with the Federal Reserve expected to raise rates by another 75 basis points in November risking a global recession”
Watch at 10:12The Next Great Reset | Why The UK Is Collapsing
PredictionFed policy ratewill rise
What happened
Relayed

Attributed to Federal Reserve — not scored

The window it was checked over

Fed policy rateWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
−2%0%2%4%6%201920202021202220232024Said on Oct 21, 2022
−2%0%2%4%6%2019202120222024Said on Oct 21, 2022

Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Attributed to Federal Reserve — not scored

What was said around it

significantly higher with 12-month bonds paying a whopping 4.61 interest the highest since 2008. because of this Wells Fargo issued a statement that we don't need the 10-year treasury to act like a meme stock implying that investors have been walking to treasury yields now that they've increased because there's really no other safe place to put your money after all stock s have been declining real estate is falling cash is inflating and if you want any return on your money short term treasuries are pretty much it these numbers could also continue moving higher with the Federal Reserve expected to raise rates by another 75 basis points in November risking a global recession will people hold on to whatever money they have left as far as my own thoughts about what's going on I agree it's kind of a mess but we also don't know how much of this is already priced in for instance it's already assumed that inflation is probably going to stay high rates will increase and spending will probably decline CNN even cited five signs that the entire world is headed to a recession from a high U.S dollar wrecking Havoc overseas less spending lower employment falling prices in war as a result some expect

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