Graham Stephan, relaying another source: House prices — around 10.8%

Said on Jul 8, 2022, at 6:20 in the video.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“bny may predicts that prices will move up in 2022 by 10.8% but they also forecast a significant cooldown in 2023 with prices climbing just 3. 2%”
Watch at 6:20The Housing Market Bubble Just Popped
PredictionHouse prices— around 10.8%by Dec 31, 2022
What happened
Relayed

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

The window it was checked over

This series is not charted here until its publisher's terms for reusing it are confirmed. Each verdict still cites the figures it was judged on.

S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index: S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

What was said around it

market for less than a month but I get it with all of the real estate jargon out of the way people only care about one thing so before we talk about it I recommend you sit down in the big picture though prices are still Rising for one simple reason there's just not enough Supply the fact is we are still well under historical averages of what would be considered a healthy market and when Builders are scaling back due to their own Rising costs that means less future Supply that will hit the market at a later date because of that bny may predicts that prices will move up in 2022 by 10.8% but they also forecast a significant cooldown in 2023 with prices climbing just 3. 2% now it is true that more than 25% of homes on the market right now have cut their prices but that seems to be more of a symptom of overly ambitious sellers thinking they could ask exorbitant prices than it is about seeing net values actually decline when it comes to this red finin went on record to say that it goes to show that there's a limit to sellers Powers there's still way more demand than Supply and buyers are still sweating but sellers can no longer overprice their home and still expect buyers to clamor at their door

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham StephanHouse priceswill rise

“And that means that home prices in those markets continue going higher.”

Aug 10, 2026 · after 1 year

Pending

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“Instead the market is just quietly resetting to a much higher and much more expensive new normal and everyone who's waiting it out to see 2019 prices again is unfortunately probably out of luck”

Jul 22, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham StephanHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“the Northeast and Midwest are still hitting record highs, including Hartford, Connecticut, which is up 25% from its 2022 peak. Well, the pandemic boom towns across Texas, Florida, and the Mountain West keep falling.”

Jul 15, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed