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Coin Bureau: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

Said on Aug 13, 2022, at 17:22 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“some of these commercial units will probably be purchased and turned into long-term rental properties which will cause rents to drop”
Watch at 17:22Housing Market Crash: It's Coming & This is WHY!!
PredictionHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figuresChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a local market, which this rule does not measure.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

This series is not charted here until its publisher's terms for reusing it are confirmed. Each verdict still cites the figures it was judged on.

S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index: S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a local market, which this rule does not measure.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a local market, which this rule does not measure.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a local market, which this rule does not measure.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a local market, which this rule does not measure.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a local market, which this rule does not measure.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a local market, which this rule does not measure.

What was said around it

quarterly earnings reports continue to come in short companies will accelerate the rate at which they're laying off employees and likely begin cutting salaries starting with top executives this will result in less leisure and business travel which will mean lower profits for all those airbnb owners many companies will also probably ditch their office spaces to cut costs if they know their employees can work from home and this will lead to a huge increase in available real estate in you guessed it the busiest parts of the busiest cities some of these commercial units will probably be purchased and turned into long-term rental properties which will cause rents to drop squeezing more conservative real estate investors who prefer to rent to long-term tenants rather than temporary tourists many of these investors will probably sell some of these commercial units will probably be purchased and turned into short-term rental properties that will compete with airbnbs causing short-term rental costs to collapse squeezing all those airbnb owners who took on too much leverage many of these investors will probably sell at the same time populism will continue to grow as the recession deepens which will leave

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham StephanHouse priceswill rise

“And that means that home prices in those markets continue going higher.”

Aug 10, 2026 · after 1 year

Pending

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“Instead the market is just quietly resetting to a much higher and much more expensive new normal and everyone who's waiting it out to see 2019 prices again is unfortunately probably out of luck”

Jul 22, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham StephanHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“the Northeast and Midwest are still hitting record highs, including Hartford, Connecticut, which is up 25% from its 2022 peak. Well, the pandemic boom towns across Texas, Florida, and the Mountain West keep falling.”

Jul 15, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed