What was said
“one Economist was quoted as saying that the stock market is in a Mania that will push it higher before a potential 26% drop in 2025”Watch at 4:06URGENT: Federal Reserve Cancels 2025 Rate Cuts, Markets Crashing FAST!
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Market crash will happen (a fall of at least 26%)
Said on Dec 18, 2024, at 4:06 in the video.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
near the 200% Mark investors are playing with fire yep I think you know where I'm going with this as you can see we are currently trading at an above Trend price of 208% which places this as one of the most expensive stock markets since the 1950s of course these days the buffet indicator is said to be somewhat flawed because it doesn't take into account how lower interest rates could affect a company's valuation but that isn't stopping experts from warning that these types of returns probably are not going to continue for instance one Economist was quoted as saying that the stock market is in a Mania that will push it higher before a potential 26% drop in 2025 however it is important to mention that not everybody agrees with this thinking and just because something is historically expensive doesn't mean it can't keep going higher and higher like most experts have been calling for below average returns for more than a decade now like this Forbes article which estimated an 80% chance of the S&P 500 being lower over the next 5 years in 2017 safe to say that didn't happen these days most analysts all seem to fall within the same camp that we probably going to see an annualized return of 0
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Market crash
Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen
“Worst-case scenario is that investors get pushed to a point where it all unravels at once. But, given how Washington is closely monitoring the situation, I tend to believe that's probably not going to happen, and most likely this is going to blow over in a few weeks.”
Aug 3, 2026 · after 90 days
Correct so far · 90 days0.0%
Andrei Jikha call with no clear direction
“So basically what we know is that every single time the yen got stronger really fast, it meant that markets somewhere in the world were starting to break.”
Jul 28, 2026
Not scored
Graham Stephan, relaying Ed Yardeni: a call with no clear direction
“the veteran strategist Ed Yardeni, who's usually one of the most bullish people on the planet, recently raised his probability of a market meltdown to 35% citing the collision of the Iran oil shock with existing trade pressures.”
Jul 27, 2026
Relayed
Coin Bureaua call under review
“the next major crypto collapse is unlikely to come from a regulator crackdown. It is going to come from a regulator that looked away while a politically connected firm built something it could not actually support.”
Jun 4, 2026
Not scored
Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen
“To me, the most realistic outcome here is not a sudden market crash that no one sees coming, but instead a slow constriction of the”
May 18, 2026 · after 90 days
Correct so far · 90 days+6.1%
Coin BureauMarket crash— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general
“Or are we watching the slow-motion opening of a 2022 style cascade where the largest concentrated holder of an asset eventually becomes the trigger for the next major leg lower?”
May 9, 2026 · after 1 year
Not verifiable