Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Thị trường sụp đổ sẽ xảy ra (giảm ít nhất 26%)

Được nói ngày 18/12/2024, tại 4:06 trong video.

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near the 200% Mark investors are playing with fire yep I think you know where I'm going with this as you can see we are currently trading at an above Trend price of 208% which places this as one of the most expensive stock markets since the 1950s of course these days the buffet indicator is said to be somewhat flawed because it doesn't take into account how lower interest rates could affect a company's valuation but that isn't stopping experts from warning that these types of returns probably are not going to continue for instance one Economist was quoted as saying that the stock market is in a Mania that will push it higher before a potential 26% drop in 2025 however it is important to mention that not everybody agrees with this thinking and just because something is historically expensive doesn't mean it can't keep going higher and higher like most experts have been calling for below average returns for more than a decade now like this Forbes article which estimated an 80% chance of the S&P 500 being lower over the next 5 years in 2017 safe to say that didn't happen these days most analysts all seem to fall within the same camp that we probably going to see an annualized return of 0

Lời của người nói được giữ nguyên văn và không bao giờ được dịch. Đường dẫn mở đúng giây đó trong video.

Xem tất cả

Graham StephanThị trường sụp đổsẽ không xảy ra

“Worst-case scenario is that investors get pushed to a point where it all unravels at once. But, given how Washington is closely monitoring the situation, I tend to believe that's probably not going to happen, and most likely this is going to blow over in a few weeks.”

03/08/2026 · sau 90 ngày

Đúng tới lúc này · 90 ngày0.0%

Andrei Jikhmột nhận định không rõ hướng

“So basically what we know is that every single time the yen got stronger really fast, it meant that markets somewhere in the world were starting to break.”

28/07/2026

Không chấm

Graham Stephan, dẫn lời Ed Yardeni: một nhận định không rõ hướng

“the veteran strategist Ed Yardeni, who's usually one of the most bullish people on the planet, recently raised his probability of a market meltdown to 35% citing the collision of the Iran oil shock with existing trade pressures.”

27/07/2026

Dẫn lời

Coin Bureaumột nhận định đang được xem xét lại

“the next major crypto collapse is  unlikely to come from a regulator crackdown. It   is going to come from a regulator that looked away  while a politically connected firm built something   it could not actually support.”

04/06/2026

Không chấm

Graham StephanThị trường sụp đổsẽ không xảy ra

“To me, the most realistic outcome here is not a sudden market crash that no one sees coming, but instead a slow constriction of the”

18/05/2026 · sau 90 ngày

Đúng tới lúc này · 90 ngày+6.1%

Coin BureauThị trường sụp đổ— không chấm: quy tắc chỉ đọc thị trường chứng khoán Mỹ nói chung

“Or are we watching the slow-motion opening of a 2022 style cascade where the largest concentrated holder of an asset eventually becomes the trigger for the next major leg lower?”

09/05/2026 · sau 1 năm

Không kiểm chứng được