Graham Stephan: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

Said on Mar 21, 2018, at 14:02 in the video.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“I believe that real estate prices here in LA well at the worst-case scenario just keep pace with inflation over the next few years worst case scenario that's just what I believe”
Watch at 14:0227 Years Old: Should I buy a House or a Lamborghini?
PredictionHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figuresChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a local market; this rule reads national US figures only.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

The window it was checked over

This series is not charted here until its publisher's terms for reusing it are confirmed. Each verdict still cites the figures it was judged on.

S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index: S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a local market; this rule reads national US figures only.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a local market; this rule reads national US figures only.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a local market; this rule reads national US figures only.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a local market; this rule reads national US figures only.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a local market; this rule reads national US figures only.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a local market; this rule reads national US figures only.

What was said around it

homes as being better deals which then drives the prices up of those $700,000 homes because all of a sudden more people are competing for the lower end and the lower end has more room just to go up because not that many people are looking at that market a lot of the buyers right now are really looking between about 900 about 1.3 for the average buyer here and probably Los Angeles $700,000 market too many people are overlooking that and people are just starting to realize how much opportunity there is right now I believe that real estate prices here in LA well at the worst-case scenario just keep pace with inflation over the next few years worst case scenario that's just what I believe there's got to be a lawyer out there that's being like Graham you have to tell them that this is an investment advice so guys this is not investment advice this is purely my opinion invest at your own risk and whatever else youtubers say this is that it you know they don't get sued but you know yeah investing your own risk purely Oh for entertainment purposes only there we go now even if we look at a similar market like San Francisco you can see the downturns don't really last that long and they typically

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham StephanHouse priceswill rise

“And that means that home prices in those markets continue going higher.”

Aug 10, 2026 · after 1 year

Pending

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“Instead the market is just quietly resetting to a much higher and much more expensive new normal and everyone who's waiting it out to see 2019 prices again is unfortunately probably out of luck”

Jul 22, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham StephanHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“the Northeast and Midwest are still hitting record highs, including Hartford, Connecticut, which is up 25% from its 2022 peak. Well, the pandemic boom towns across Texas, Florida, and the Mountain West keep falling.”

Jul 15, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed