“they're now expecting significantly fewer rate Cuts in 2025 than they initially expected”Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will fall
Said on Dec 18, 2024, at 12:04 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
willing to negotiate although in terms of what Jerome pal just said as of a few hours ago and the reaction of the market here is what you came for as of a few hours ago the Federal Reserve has decided to cut interest rates another 25 basis points as expected except this time we get the benefit of receiving a lot more information about their plan for the next year and what's called the summary of economic projections this estimates where they believe we'll see inflation interest rates unemployment and GDP over the next few years and in this case bad news they're now expecting significantly fewer rate Cuts in 2025 than they initially expected as you could see here which has caused the market to enter a bit of a freef fall as investors price and higher rates for longer for them they explain that they want to take it slow make sure that inflation doesn't re accelerate and by holding firm they're ensuring that prices don't meaningfully Spike back up on top of that they believe that we'll be able to return the inflation rate back to their 2 % Target and then hold steady and adjust in the future as needed and overall it appears as though their fight against inflation is working all in all none
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Fed policy rate
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026