“in short Jerome said interest rates will continue to increase well into 2023 and will stay high indefinitely until inflation truly comes down”Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
Said on Dec 22, 2022, at 3:06 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
markets both to the upside and to the downside in recent weeks last week's price action is a great example of this markets rallied leading up to the fed's press conference and spiked on the day before this is because of the release of the Consumer Price Index or CPI for November which revealed that inflation is coming down quicker than investors expected investors were hoping that this positive data would translate to a pause or even pivot by the FED but Jerome pulled off what some have been calling the Powell rug pull instead in short Jerome said interest rates will continue to increase well into 2023 and will stay high indefinitely until inflation truly comes down prior to the press conference investors were expecting the FED to pause raising interest rates some thought that it could be as early as next year possibly as soon as the January meeting once Jerome made it clear that this wasn't happening the market started to decline in response to the sudden uncertainty as you'll soon see however this only scratches the surface of the fed's most recent forward Guidance the FED press conference began with a short speech by Jerome himself and I'll quickly note that this particular conference
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Fed policy rate
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026