“On the macro front, the
Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September, potentially giving markets
an extra boost.”Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will fall
Said on Aug 16, 2025, at 18:03 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
ignore the current market turbulence. Crypto experienced a sharp pullback starting in late July, aligning closely with broader financial markets like the S&P 500, which of course sent investor sentiment plunging. But if we zoom out, July was actually a strong month overall with BTC gaining around 10%, ETH surging an impressive 55% and even smaller cap altcoins seeing significant increases in some cases. This strong performance sets the stage for potential upside once the market shakes off the current correction. On the macro front, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September, potentially giving markets an extra boost. But even if that doesn't happen, crypto markets don't necessarily need rate cuts or a return to quantitative easing or QE in order to rally. For instance, back in 2017 during one of crypto's most explosive rallies, especially in altcoins, the Fed was actively raising interest rates and pursuing quantitative tightening. Yet crypto still managed to surge significantly. We saw the same in early 2024 when Fed rates were at multi-deade highs and QT was in full force. So clearly there's more to the macro. As far
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Fed policy rate
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026