“the biggest risk seems to be that interest rates will stay higher than economic growth as that could drag everything down”Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Interest rates will rise
Said on Aug 4, 2024, at 20:30 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
yields to rise which would in turn cause rates to spike this should make it easy to understand why Forex swaps help with financial stability they reduce the need for central banks to sell their Holdings of foreign bonds to support their currencies this in turn reduces the risk that Global bond yields and interest rates will rise reducing Market volatility now the authors conclude this part of the report with a lengthy analysis of possible challenges that central banks could face in the coming years and the scenarios that could occur the biggest risk seems to be that interest rates will stay higher than economic growth as that could drag everything down the reason this is a problem is because central banks need to keep interest rates High to fight inflation this means that the only solution is for growth to consistently be higher than interest rates logically this requires a gradual increase in productivity which you'll recall is declining in most developed countries the authors touch on the headwinds caused by De globalization and demographics without noting that the reason why demographics are so bad is because globalization has robbed the average person of their wealth and upward
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Interest rates
Graham Stephana call with no clear direction
“in my opinion, the big move to really watch out for is whether or not the 10-year Treasury yield exceeds or hits 5%.”
Sep 3, 2026
Andrei JikhInterest rateswill rise
“That is partially why interest rates are expected to go up here in the US.”
Jul 28, 2026 · after 1 year
Andrei JikhInterest rateswill rise
“Either way, it looks like yields are going to go up.”
Jun 5, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanInterest rates— no direction stated
“the government's just going to print more money while keeping interest rates as low as they possibly can.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham Stephan, relaying Congressional Budget Office: Interest rates will rise
“the Congressional Budget Office now projects interest will reach $2.1 trillion a year by 2036,”
Jun 1, 2026
Andrei JikhInterest rateswill rise
“But it is especially bad when the riskfree rate, meaning what you can get today from a government bond is sitting at above 5%. It's probably going higher.”
May 26, 2026 · after 1 year