Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Interest rates will rise

Said on Aug 4, 2024, at 20:30 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“the biggest risk seems to be that interest rates will stay higher than economic growth as that could drag everything down”
Watch at 20:30Watch Out!! Economy Could Get Worse?! The BIS Predicts This!
PredictionInterest rateswill rise
What happened
Relayed

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

The window it was checked over

Interest ratesWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
−2%0%2%4%6%202120222023202420252025Said on Aug 4, 2024
−2%0%2%4%6%2021202320242025Said on Aug 4, 2024

Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

What was said around it

yields to rise which would in turn cause rates to spike this should make it easy to understand why Forex swaps help with financial stability they reduce the need for central banks to sell their Holdings of foreign bonds to support their currencies this in turn reduces the risk that Global bond yields and interest rates will rise reducing Market volatility now the authors conclude this part of the report with a lengthy analysis of possible challenges that central banks could face in the coming years and the scenarios that could occur the biggest risk seems to be that interest rates will stay higher than economic growth as that could drag everything down the reason this is a problem is because central banks need to keep interest rates High to fight inflation this means that the only solution is for growth to consistently be higher than interest rates logically this requires a gradual increase in productivity which you'll recall is declining in most developed countries the authors touch on the headwinds caused by De globalization and demographics without noting that the reason why demographics are so bad is because globalization has robbed the average person of their wealth and upward

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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