“the biggest risk seems to be that interest rates will stay higher than economic growth as that could drag everything down”Coin Bureau, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất sẽ tăng
Được nói ngày 04/08/2024, tại 20:30 trong video.
Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng
Cận trên của biên độ lãi suất mục tiêu quỹ liên bang (Fed funds): Hội đồng Thống đốc Cục Dự trữ Liên bang Mỹ, qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.
Kết quả ở từng khung thời gian
Hiển thị đủ mọi khung, không chọn khung có lợiDự báo của người khác — không chấm
Ngữ cảnh xung quanh
yields to rise which would in turn cause rates to spike this should make it easy to understand why Forex swaps help with financial stability they reduce the need for central banks to sell their Holdings of foreign bonds to support their currencies this in turn reduces the risk that Global bond yields and interest rates will rise reducing Market volatility now the authors conclude this part of the report with a lengthy analysis of possible challenges that central banks could face in the coming years and the scenarios that could occur the biggest risk seems to be that interest rates will stay higher than economic growth as that could drag everything down the reason this is a problem is because central banks need to keep interest rates High to fight inflation this means that the only solution is for growth to consistently be higher than interest rates logically this requires a gradual increase in productivity which you'll recall is declining in most developed countries the authors touch on the headwinds caused by De globalization and demographics without noting that the reason why demographics are so bad is because globalization has robbed the average person of their wealth and upward
Lời của người nói được giữ nguyên văn và không bao giờ được dịch. Đường dẫn mở đúng giây đó trong video.
Thêm nhận định về Lãi suất
Graham Stephanmột nhận định không rõ hướng
“in my opinion, the big move to really watch out for is whether or not the 10-year Treasury yield exceeds or hits 5%.”
03/09/2026
Andrei JikhLãi suấtsẽ tăng
“That is partially why interest rates are expected to go up here in the US.”
28/07/2026 · sau 1 năm
Andrei JikhLãi suấtsẽ tăng
“Either way, it looks like yields are going to go up.”
05/06/2026 · sau 1 năm
Graham StephanLãi suất— không nêu hướng
“the government's just going to print more money while keeping interest rates as low as they possibly can.”
01/06/2026 · sau 1 năm
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời Congressional Budget Office: Lãi suất sẽ tăng
“the Congressional Budget Office now projects interest will reach $2.1 trillion a year by 2036,”
01/06/2026
Andrei JikhLãi suấtsẽ tăng
“But it is especially bad when the riskfree rate, meaning what you can get today from a government bond is sitting at above 5%. It's probably going higher.”
26/05/2026 · sau 1 năm