Said on Feb 7, 2022, at 0:12 in the video.
“it seems like a recession is pretty much inevitable at this point”No recession is dated between Feb 7, 2022 and Feb 7, 2023. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
30 days
Incorrect
90 days
Incorrect
180 days
Incorrect
1 year
Incorrect
NBER-based recession indicator: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
| Window | Result | At the start | At the end | Change | Benchmark |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 daysR-MACRO-REC v4 | Incorrect | — | —Mar 9, 2022 | — | — |
| 90 daysR-MACRO-REC v4 | Incorrect | — | —May 8, 2022 | — | — |
| 180 daysR-MACRO-REC v4 | Incorrect | — | —Aug 6, 2022 | — | — |
| 1 yearR-MACRO-REC v4 | Incorrect | — | —Feb 7, 2023 | — | — |
| 3 yearsR-MACRO-REC v4 | Incorrect | — | —Feb 6, 2025 | — | — |
| 5 yearsR-MACRO-REC v4 | Pending | — | —Feb 6, 2027 | — | — |
No recession is dated between Feb 7, 2022 and Mar 9, 2022. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
No recession is dated between Feb 7, 2022 and May 8, 2022. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
No recession is dated between Feb 7, 2022 and Aug 6, 2022. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
No recession is dated between Feb 7, 2022 and Feb 7, 2023. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
No recession is dated between Feb 7, 2022 and Feb 6, 2025. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
The window is still open. The result is due after Feb 6, 2027.
hi my name is andre dick hope you're doing well come for the finance and stay for the possible recession because blue chip tech stocks are now as volatile as bitcoins and paypal was down over 20 in a single day last week and inflation readings as high as they are it seems like a recession is pretty much inevitable at this point and it's backed by some really good data check this out this is a really interesting observation that i saw in one of meet kevin's videos that i thought was really cool but also really scary which is that any time we've had an inflation reading of above five percent we have always followed that with the recession every single time in the last 70 years other than once and right now our inflation is closer to six and a half percent if not seven percent last year so what is exactly a recession though maybe you knew this i didn't know this but a recession is officially
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
Andrei JikhRecessionwill happen
“And throughout history, exploding oil prices have almost always come before a major recession.”
Mar 16, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Recession will rise
“That's why in Q2 of 2027 in this scenario, we are in a full-blown recession.”
Feb 27, 2026
Coin Bureau, relaying JPMorgan: a call under review
“JPMorgan's December outlook assigns a 35% probability to a US and global recession hitting in 2026.”
Dec 24, 2025
Coin Bureaua call under review
“This suggests that more states could soon face economic turmoil and this could in turn tip the US into a recession at the federal level.”
Nov 11, 2025
Andrei Jikha call with no clear direction
“The next recession won't be coming from student loans or subprime mortgages. Now, we know the next recession will come from subprime cheeseburger loans.”
Sep 2, 2025
Coin BureauRecessionwill fall
“The good news in this case is that it means liquidity is likely to continue rising indefinitely and that it will be very hard to have a recession.”
Aug 2, 2025 · after 1 year
