“most fed officials see interest rates falling down to around 3% in the coming years and staying at those levels”Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will fall
Said on Sep 25, 2024, at 7:29 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
heading this information is provided in the fed's summary of economic projections or sep a document that it updates at every other fed meeting if you've looked at the most recent SCP you'll know that there's not much to write home about there the FED expects GDP to stay steady at around 2% in the coming years it expects unemployment to rise slightly before falling back to its 4% Target and for inflation to continue falling until it hits its 2% Target the only prediction worth expanding on is the fed's projection for its future interest r rates most fed officials see interest rates falling down to around 3% in the coming years and staying at those levels in the long term this is significant as it suggests that we are now in a higher interest rate environment in case you missed it interest rates had been practically at zero since 2008 now after his review of the SCP Jerome underscored the fact that the FED is focused on the unemployment side of its dual mandate however he simultaneously stressed that the FED would continue to look at incoming inflation and unemployment data when it comes to adjusting interest rates in the future to be exact Jerome said that if inflation continues falling or
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Fed policy rate
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026