Joseph Carlson: TXRH will rise

Said on Sep 20, 2021, at 8:12 in the video.

What was saidSep 20, 2021

@josephcarlsonshow

“i'm still very bullish on texas roadhouse i think this is a fantastic company growing revenues quickly growing ebitda quickly it's buying back shares it has no debt”

Watch at 8:12The Evergrande Sell Off Has Started | Joseph Carlson Ep. 184

PredictionTXRHwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

What happenedafter 1 year

Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$91.48

Sep 20, 2021

Price at close

$90.48

Sep 20, 2022

Total return, dividends included

+1.1%

S&P 500 −10.2%

TXRH closed at $91.48 on Sep 20, 2021. On Sep 20, 2022 it closed at $90.48, a total return of +1.1% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −10.2%. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Correct

Details and evidence Report a problem

The window it was checked over

TXRHWindow checked

TXRH closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Result at every window
Window	Result	At the start	At the end	Change	Benchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4	Incorrect	$91.48Sep 20, 2021	$88.54Oct 20, 2021	−3.2%Total return, dividends included	S&P 500 +4.2%
90 daysR-DIR v4	Incorrect	$91.48Sep 20, 2021	$83.75Dec 17, 2021	−8.0%Total return, dividends included	S&P 500 +6.3%
180 daysR-DIR v4	Incorrect	$91.48Sep 20, 2021	$83.65Mar 18, 2022	−7.5%Total return, dividends included	S&P 500 +3.1%
1 yearR-DIR v4	Correct	$91.48Sep 20, 2021	$90.48Sep 20, 2022	+1.1%Total return, dividends included	S&P 500 −10.2%
3 yearsR-DIR v4	Correct	$91.48Sep 20, 2021	$172.49Sep 19, 2024	+99.9%Total return, dividends included	S&P 500 +37.1%
5 yearsR-DIR v4	Correct	$91.48Sep 20, 2021	$167.56Sep 18, 2026	+100.3%Total return, dividends included	S&P 500 +87.6%

Why: 30 days

TXRH closed at $91.48 on Sep 20, 2021. On Oct 20, 2021 it closed at $88.54, a total return of −3.2% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +4.2%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

TXRH closed at $91.48 on Sep 20, 2021. On Dec 17, 2021 it closed at $83.75, a total return of −8.0% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +6.3%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

TXRH closed at $91.48 on Sep 20, 2021. On Mar 18, 2022 it closed at $83.65, a total return of −7.5% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +3.1%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

Why: 3 years

TXRH closed at $91.48 on Sep 20, 2021. On Sep 19, 2024 it closed at $172.49, a total return of +99.9% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +37.1%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 5 years

TXRH closed at $91.48 on Sep 20, 2021. On Sep 18, 2026 it closed at $167.56, a total return of +100.3% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +87.6%. The call was that it would rise.

What was said around it

renewable and energy category is actually in the green dominion energy is up one point five eight percent and next era energy is up point six percent these are both smaller holdings but it's interesting to see that when there's trouble in the world and people are looking for safety they will start to shift money into these utility companies they consider them a safe haven against trouble and then we have the restaurant and delivery category which is just one company it's texas roadhouse that's down one percent today i'm still very bullish on texas roadhouse i think this is a fantastic company growing revenues quickly growing ebitda quickly it's buying back shares it has no debt i just think overall everything with the balance sheet and the growth prospects of this company is very good so i remain bullish on this one so this is how the portfolio looks overall today lots of red it's pretty ugly but as bad as this is again this is nowhere near as bad as a lot of tech focus portfolios those are the ones that are really getting hit today overall i'm still in the green by fifty six thousand dollars but keep in mind we could go back in the red if the market decided to go down another fifteen twenty

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Joseph CarlsonTXRHwill rise

“I believe Texas Roadhouse will continue to carve itself out as one of the top restaurants that people frequent”

Sep 19, 2024 · after 1 year

Incorrect−5.4%

Joseph CarlsonTXRH— a company event

“their execution and outperformance makes me believe that it's only a matter of time until they're introduced into the indexes”

May 3, 2024 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Joseph CarlsonTXRHwill rise

“I think Texas Roadhouse can continue to grow in double digits”

Mar 13, 2024 · after 1 year

Correct+10.9%

Joseph CarlsonTXRHwill outperform

“but not only is the starting valuation cheaper for Texas Roadhouse but I also believe it will outgrow the s p 500. I think the free cash flows will grow quicker so that is a way of trying to outperform the S P 500 finding companies that have starting yields as high around the same as the S P 500 but which can grow their future cash flows at a faster rate than the s p 500.”

Jan 13, 2023 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Joseph CarlsonTXRHwill rise

“I think that Texas Roadhouse is in particular set up to do really well next year I think the Texas Roadhouse is still a sleeper stock that will outperform expectations”

Dec 22, 2022 · after 1 year

Correct+28.3%

Joseph CarlsonTXRHwill rise

“I continue to believe this company is undervalued I think it still has some more room to grow as of right now I'm continuing to hold”

Oct 28, 2022 · after 1 year

Correct+1.0%

The window it was checked over

Result at every window

What was said around it

More on TXRH