Joseph Carlson: TXRH will outperform

Said on Jan 13, 2023, at 15:48 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“but not only is the starting valuation cheaper for Texas Roadhouse but I also believe it will outgrow the s p 500. I think the free cash flows will grow quicker so that is a way of trying to outperform the S P 500 finding companies that have starting yields as high around the same as the S P 500 but which can grow their future cash flows at a faster rate than the s p 500.”
Watch at 15:48Terry Smith Is ANGRY, Here’s Why | Joseph Carlson Ep. 300
PredictionTXRHwill outperformChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: comparison not supported. A call that one asset will beat another is not checked yet, and it is not judged as a plain rise or fall.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

The window it was checked over

TXRHWindow checked
$60$80$100$120$140$160Jul 2022Nov 2022Mar 2023Jul 2023Nov 2023Mar 2024Said on Jan 13, 2023
$60$80$100$120$140$160Jul 2022Feb 2023Aug 2023Mar 2024Said on Jan 13, 2023

TXRH closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-REL v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-REL v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-REL v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-REL v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-REL v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-REL v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: comparison not supported. A call that one asset will beat another is not checked yet, and it is not judged as a plain rise or fall.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: comparison not supported. A call that one asset will beat another is not checked yet, and it is not judged as a plain rise or fall.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: comparison not supported. A call that one asset will beat another is not checked yet, and it is not judged as a plain rise or fall.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: comparison not supported. A call that one asset will beat another is not checked yet, and it is not judged as a plain rise or fall.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: comparison not supported. A call that one asset will beat another is not checked yet, and it is not judged as a plain rise or fall.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: comparison not supported. A call that one asset will beat another is not checked yet, and it is not judged as a plain rise or fall.

What was said around it

are simply better at consistently growing cash flows so when I'm looking at valuation on any company I'm looking at the starting point of the valuation the starting point is the yield of the company Texas Roadhouse has a free cash flow yield of 4.16 percent and like we just saw the s p 500's current free cash flow yield in aggregate is 3.4 percent so we have a better valuation starting off with Texas Roadhouse but not only is the starting valuation cheaper for Texas Roadhouse but I also believe it will outgrow the s p 500. I think the free cash flows will grow quicker so that is a way of trying to outperform the S P 500 finding companies that have starting yields as high around the same as the S P 500 but which can grow their future cash flows at a faster rate than the s p 500. now the third part of this strategy is one that I think I struggle with the most which is to do nothing I think this is just mentally the most difficult part in investing in individual companies which is to truly have a long-term mindset I think doing analysis is fun doing analysis is active and I could do that for hours on end and really dissect and learn everything there is to learn about a company I can find

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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