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Joseph Carlson: TXRH will rise

Said on Oct 28, 2022, at 13:38 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“I continue to believe this company is undervalued I think it still has some more room to grow as of right now I'm continuing to hold”
Watch at 13:38Apple Just Revealed Their Secret Weapon | Joseph Carlson Ep. 183
PredictionTXRHwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$98.71

Oct 28, 2022

Price at close

$97.71

Oct 27, 2023

Total return, dividends included

+1.0%

S&P 500 +7.2%

TXRH closed at $98.71 on Oct 28, 2022. On Oct 27, 2023 it closed at $97.71, a total return of +1.0% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +7.2%. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Within band

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

TXRHWindow checked
$60$70$80$90$100$110$120$130May 2022Aug 2022Dec 2022Apr 2023Aug 2023Dec 2023Said on Oct 28, 2022
$60$80$100$120$140May 2022Nov 2022Jun 2023Dec 2023Said on Oct 28, 2022

TXRH closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Within band$98.71Oct 28, 2022$99.20Nov 25, 2022+0.5%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +3.4%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$98.71Oct 28, 2022$99.04Jan 26, 2023+0.8%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +4.5%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$98.71Oct 28, 2022$108.35Apr 26, 2023+10.9%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +4.8%
1 yearR-DIR v4Correct$98.71Oct 28, 2022$97.71Oct 27, 2023+1.0%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +7.2%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Correct$98.71Oct 28, 2022$174.31Oct 27, 2025+85.8%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +83.5%
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Oct 27, 2027——
Why: 30 days

TXRH closed at $98.71 on Oct 28, 2022. On Nov 25, 2022 it closed at $99.20, a total return of +0.5% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +3.4%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

TXRH closed at $98.71 on Oct 28, 2022. On Jan 26, 2023 it closed at $99.04, a total return of +0.8% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +4.5%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

TXRH closed at $98.71 on Oct 28, 2022. On Apr 26, 2023 it closed at $108.35, a total return of +10.9% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +4.8%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

TXRH closed at $98.71 on Oct 28, 2022. On Oct 27, 2023 it closed at $97.71, a total return of +1.0% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +7.2%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

TXRH closed at $98.71 on Oct 28, 2022. On Oct 27, 2025 it closed at $174.31, a total return of +85.8% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +83.5%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Oct 27, 2027.

What was said around it

also doing a lot of share BuyBacks and they're increasing the amount of share BuyBacks they're doing this last quarter on a year-over-year basis they reduced the shares outstanding by 4.19 percent so they're paying both a two percent yielding dividend and four percent share BuyBacks and they're doing this without taking any risks the company has more cash on hand than debt so this is one of the companies that even though I'm heavily in the green right now I could sell this one at a pretty decent gain for just owning it this year I continue to believe this company is undervalued I think it still has some more room to grow as of right now I'm continuing to hold now vici's the last one that reported earnings in my portfolio and again this one is a massive holding at a forty thousand dollar value currently with eight thousand dollars in the green Vichy is a fun company to own the reason why is they pay pay you a lot of money to wait around so this company's really never boring when I first started buying into it my first dividend was 77 then I grew my position the dividend grew to 262 dollars then four hundred dollars 406 445 and then without any additional invested Capital into Vichy not

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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“their execution and outperformance makes me believe that it's only a matter of time until they're introduced into the indexes”

May 3, 2024 · after 1 year

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Mar 13, 2024 · after 1 year

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“but not only is the starting valuation cheaper for Texas Roadhouse but I also believe it will outgrow the s p 500. I think the free cash flows will grow quicker so that is a way of trying to outperform the S P 500 finding companies that have starting yields as high around the same as the S P 500 but which can grow their future cash flows at a faster rate than the s p 500.”

Jan 13, 2023 · after 1 year

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Joseph CarlsonTXRHwill rise

“I think that Texas Roadhouse is in particular set up to do really well next year I think the Texas Roadhouse is still a sleeper stock that will outperform expectations”

Dec 22, 2022 · after 1 year

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“i think it's undervalued right now texas roadhouse trades at 87 dollars a share and i think the company's worth around 120.”

Jul 29, 2022 · after 1 year

Partly correct+26.7%